How to use this estimate
- The lower modeled annual cost wins only on fuel expense; installation, maintenance, and fixed utility charges are separate.
- Test more than one COP to see cold-weather sensitivity.
- Solar, time-of-use pricing, and avoided gas connection charges may change the decision.
Transparent method
We expose the planning formula so you can challenge it and replace assumptions with local evidence.
heat pump: delivered kWh ÷ COP × electric rate; gas: delivered therms ÷ AFUE × gas rateWhat this calculator cannot see
- A therm is treated as 100,000 BTU and a kWh as 3,412 BTU.
- Actual COP changes with outdoor temperature, equipment, defrost, controls, and duct conditions.
Professional verification
Use this result to prepare questions and compare scenarios. Final equipment selection, electrical work, refrigerant work, combustion, duct design, and permitting should be handled by qualified professionals following local codes and manufacturer instructions.